Boise State
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 80.9011Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 A So Florida AME ( 9- 3, 87.1) 7-34 905 H Ea Wash 51-14 920 A Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 73.3) 49-37 927 H App St SUN ( 5- 7, 69.2) 47-14 1004 A Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 95.0) 7-28 1011 H New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 3, 78.6) 41-25 1018 H UNLV MIDW ( 8- 4, 76.7) 56-31 1024 A Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 72.2) 24- 3 1101 H Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 75.5) 7-30 1115 A San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 4, 77.7) 7-17 1122 H Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 66.8) 49-21 1128 A Utah St MIDW ( 6- 6, 76.6) 25-24 1205 H UNLV MIDW ( 8- 4, 76.7) 38-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 A So Florida 7-34 -27 -9 -- -5.10
920 A Air Force 49-37 12 5 +++ 7.06
927 H App St 47-14 33 14 0.00
1004 A Notre Dame 7-28 -21 -17 0.00
1011 H New Mexico 41-25 16 5 +++ 9.00
1018 H UNLV 56-31 25 7 +++ 7.16
1024 A Nevada 24- 3 21 6 +++ 7.96
1101 H Fresno St 7-30 -23 8 --- -22.07
1115 A San Diego St 7-17 -10 1 --- -10.54
1122 H Colorado St 49-21 28 17 0.00
1128 A Utah St 25-24 1 2 -0.65
1205 H UNLV 38-21 17 7 +++ 7.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 H Fresno St 7-30 -23 8 --- -22.07 1115 A San Diego St 7-17 -10 1 --- -10.54 828 A So Florida 7-34 -27 -9 -- -5.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Air Force 49-37 12 5 +++ 7.06 1011 H New Mexico 41-25 16 5 +++ 9.00 1018 H UNLV 56-31 25 7 +++ 7.16 1024 A Nevada 24- 3 21 6 +++ 7.96 1205 H UNLV 38-21 17 7 +++ 7.16 |
Boise State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| California | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| UNC | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| NC St | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Syracuse | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Wake Forest | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Army | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Charlotte | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Boise State | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Memphis | Boise State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Navy | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Boise State | |
| No Texas | No Texas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| UAB | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| UTSA | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Boise State | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Cincinnati | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Boise State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Minnesota | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Nebraska | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Northwestern | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Purdue | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Rutgers | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| UCLA | Boise State | Boise State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| USC | USC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Florida Intl | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Kennesaw St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Liberty | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| La Tech | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Middle Tenn | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| NM St | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| SHouston St | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| UTEP | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| We Kentucky | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| UMass | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Akron | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Ball St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Bowl. Green | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Buffalo | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Cen Michigan | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Ea Michigan | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Kent State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| MiamiOH | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| No Illinois | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Ohio | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Toledo | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| We Michigan | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Air Force | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Boise State | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Boise State | |
| Nevada | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| New Mexico | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | Boise State | Boise State 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| UNLV | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Utah St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Wyoming | Boise State | Boise State 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Oregon St | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Boise State | |
| Wash St | Wash St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida | |
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Arkansas State | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Coastal Car | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Georgia So | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Boise State | |
| Georgia St | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| J Madison | J Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Marshall | Boise State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Old Dominion | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| So Miss | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| So Alabama | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Texas State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Troy | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| La-Monroe | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Delaware | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Missouri St | Boise State | Boise State |
PowerWise = 85
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A So Florida ( 9- 3, 87.1) 7-34 -12.77 34.38 2.67 1.01 -5.10
0 A Air Force ( 5- 8, 73.3) 49-37 -26.61 20.54 2.67 1.01 46.93
0 H App St ( 5- 7, 69.2) 47-14 -30.68 16.47 -2.67 1.01 27.89
0 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 95.0) 7-28 -4.93 42.22 2.67 1.01 -1.14
0 H New Mexico ( 9- 3, 78.6) 41-25 -21.32 25.83 -2.67 1.01 46.82
0 H UNLV ( 8- 4, 76.7) 56-31 -23.16 23.99 -2.67 1.01 43.09
0 A Nevada ( 4- 8, 72.2) 24- 3 -27.71 19.44 2.67 1.01 44.71
0 H Fresno St ( 8- 4, 75.5) 7-30 -24.39 22.76 -2.67 1.01 -13.68
0 A San Diego St ( 8- 4, 77.7) 7-17 -22.21 24.94 2.67 1.01 -9.88
0 H Colorado St ( 2-11, 66.8) 49-21 -33.06 14.09 -2.67 1.01 23.08
0 A Utah St ( 6- 6, 76.6) 25-24 -23.32 23.83 2.67 1.01 53.59
0 H UNLV ( 8- 4, 76.7) 38-21 -23.16 23.99 -2.67 1.01 43.09
------
299.42
|
winning pts = 329.2188 losing points = -29.8028
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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